MODEL ANALYSIS

Some years ago I thought of an idea to give everyone on my website the chance to better understand synoptic charts by me giving a running commentary twice a day on the model outputs and their timed charts as they were issued and the type of weather that each chart would likely give the UK as a whole. This was well received by locallers so I decided to put it on to a national platform using two notably acclaimed weather forums. Here too it was generally well received and I maintained its prescence their for several years. Then after a couple of years the pressures of time and personal family issues led to me being unable to focus on the ritual of compiling the report each day plus some unsavoury comments from some individuals on the forums towards me led to my cessation of the report. Having had a break now for six months or so I have had an increasing number of requests to bring back the service from local folk. So I have decided to do just that but this time keeping it exclusive to my website and publishing it just once a day not twice, Those folks used to seeing my reports on the forums will now have to read my reports here. The format is much as before with charts showing 3,5,10 and (where applicable) 15 days from the present with an end summary piecing together all the models outputs towards a common theme and the most likely track and weather type I think the models point towards. The latest edition can be seen below. 

Current General Situation

GFS-DAYS 3-15

T+72HRS

T+144HRS

T+240HRS

T+360HRS

GEM DAYS 3-10

T+72HRS

T+144hrs

T+240HRS

UK MET OFFICE DAYS 3-6

T+72HRS

T+144HRS

ECM-DAYS 3-10

T+72HRS

T+144HRS

T+240HRS

ECM 10 DAY MEAN CHART

http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/STATS_vsdb/allmodel/daily/cor/cor_day1_PMSL_MSL_G2NHX.png

MY THOUGHTS

All charts above are supplied by  wetterzentrale.de  meteociel.fr  and  metoffice.gov.uk